Lustrous-Tool
0xa869e1e7c69ce362bde23203249a0ab9680c28f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$440.91
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?
3000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1004 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-492.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3AM ET
995 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
652 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-295.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
648 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-308.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
642 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-295.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET
612 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-319.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Jun 25, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$24.42Jun 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$51.35Jun 25, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$70.59Jun 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$60.63Jun 25, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$63.49Jun 25, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$41.04Jun 25, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$43.50Jun 25, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$14.58Jun 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$104.06Jun 25, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$43.66Jun 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$10.41Jun 25, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$13.33Jun 25, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.39Jun 25, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.17Jun 25, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$4.14Jun 25, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$44.74Jun 25, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Jun 25, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$17.74Jun 25, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$57.29Jun 25, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $23.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.