0xa86d4cfdeeb72065d1cc1a4bb735b7bf7ebbc09a
0xa86d4cfdeeb72065d1cc1a4bb735b7bf7ebbc09a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$466.33
Total PnL
$18.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
349 shares @ 57.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$272.43
$73.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
115 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.10
$5.18
- YES
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
260 shares @ 57.6¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$89.81
$-60.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.00Jun 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$152.64Jun 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$200.08Jun 9, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$299.88May 31, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$99.97May 29, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $188.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.