Old-Machinery
0xa87233e55757c55f7012658963e9556629597752
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$2.08
Total PnL
$-92.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Cavaliers
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
22 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-10-21?
19 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Warriors
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-09-28?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-05?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.04May 6, 00:34 UTC
- REWARD$42.32Mar 16, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$3.00Mar 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$56.80Mar 16, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$57.68Feb 10, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$57.68Feb 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$56.35Feb 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO5) - LIT Playoffs$2.00Feb 6, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group C$6.90Feb 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group C$2.00Feb 5, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage$2.00Feb 5, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season$2.00Feb 5, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Lille Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group$2.00Feb 5, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Diversion Gaming vs Ethereal Enigmas (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage$1.00Feb 5, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Warriors$5.13Feb 5, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs$5.56Feb 5, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-In$2.00Feb 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi$3.00Feb 4, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".