Lopsided-Lift
0xa87d85b4508929dbd5ab6888a766d7a0d6c1c7a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$117.36
Total PnL
$-341.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$50.00
$6.00
- NO
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$29.41
$9.41
- NO
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?
13 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$13.47
$3.47
- NO
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$12.99
$2.99
- NO
New pandemic before July?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$11.49
$1.49
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
549 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
312 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2024$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Megaquake in December?
210 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$4.00Dec 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$22.00Dec 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$4.00Dec 21, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$22.00Dec 21, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic before July?$10.00Dec 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?$20.00Dec 21, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$10.00Dec 21, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? $10.00Dec 21, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$10.00Dec 21, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$25.00Dec 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$10.00Dec 21, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$25.00Dec 21, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$17.00Dec 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $10.00Dec 21, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in December?$10.00Dec 21, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$50.00Dec 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$39.48Dec 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?$38.00Dec 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Adam Schiff?$25.00Dec 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Liz Cheney?$25.00Dec 21, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $22.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".