Untrue-Embellishment
0xa88de6dab220c50629fc3033d5a42ff2c35b9830
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-80.64
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
33333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$216.66
$16.67
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22221 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$211.10
$11.11
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.14
$7.14
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.14
$7.14
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$83.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
16667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.33
$-41.67
- YES
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.03Jun 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.25Jun 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.03Jun 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.32Jun 14, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jun 14, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jun 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$9.71Jun 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$9.71Jun 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$9.71Jun 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.02Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.32Jun 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.31Jun 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.13Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.06Jun 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.06Jun 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.03Jun 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jun 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jun 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.04Jun 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jun 14, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.