Chief-Conversation
0xa899a3bf2037ac55026a2e28ee62f834ab890ddd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-290.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 2?
6906 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 12?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 10?
2181 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12?
847 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10?
439 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
74 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.17Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3.10Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?$4.02Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?$4.04Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$4.65Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$4.71Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$5.15Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12?$11.88Feb 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 12?$5.00Feb 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12?$40.00Feb 11, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?$2.03Feb 11, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)$2.22Feb 11, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$5.26Feb 11, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?$20.49Feb 11, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?$26.89Feb 11, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 10?$22.43Feb 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10?$10.00Feb 7, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 6?$5.03Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?$5.18Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?$22.22Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.