Curvy-Outlaw
0xa89fd9f6f3bb72f2655549c0f00a76c88248fd4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.63
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?$1.47Apr 1, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$1.15Mar 30, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?$1.19Mar 3, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?$1.35Mar 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in February?$1.35Feb 24, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?$1.18Feb 20, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.20Feb 20, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.20Jan 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Seahawks$4.60Jan 27, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Seahawks$2.67Jan 21, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?$1.00Jan 21, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$1.40Jan 21, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.62Jan 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$1.40Dec 31, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.62Dec 30, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Saints$0.00Dec 23, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$0.00Dec 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Saints$1.28Dec 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$2.29Dec 6, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.