Posh-Magic
0xa8a1e72944d467a1766bc7382563e4e3af9511f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$30.06
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 16?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 15?$10.00May 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.00May 15, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 16?$5.00May 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?$5.05May 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 8?$5.05May 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$10.07May 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$10.00May 7, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?$5.00May 7, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 8?$5.00May 7, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00May 7, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$5.02May 7, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.80 in April?$5.03May 7, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$20.24May 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in April?$5.00Apr 27, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$5.00Apr 27, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$1.02Apr 27, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 11?$10.02Apr 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$20.00Apr 11, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 11?$10.00Apr 11, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $12.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".