Second-Hand-Guestbook
0xa8a2be05710fbe22b3dcbff0bce329b07eccdb8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.16
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- WICKED
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
5127 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
3762 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3759 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2703 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2499 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)$1.00Dec 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1.00Dec 16, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.04Dec 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?$1.02Dec 11, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Dec 4, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 16,000,000 and 18,000,000?$1.00Dec 4, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.02Dec 4, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$50.00Nov 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$48.00Nov 10, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.9KNov 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$949.50Nov 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Nov 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$45.50Nov 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.2KNov 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $593.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".