Careful-Linkage
0xa8aab414329af517629e7c82f2309cae8ca9fd4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.19
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 10?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?
16 shares @ 63.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?
9 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?
7 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?$15.15Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 11?$2.59Jun 12, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11?$14.29Jun 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$1.02Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?$0.01Jun 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?$0.89Jun 11, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11?$3.49Jun 11, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 11?$2.02Jun 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?$0.14Jun 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?$0.90Jun 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 11?$1.05Jun 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11?$10.15Jun 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?$10.18Jun 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11?$10.18Jun 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?$10.17Jun 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 10?$0.05Jun 10, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 10?$0.41Jun 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?$5.16Jun 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10?$2.75Jun 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 10?$2.37Jun 10, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.