Considerate-Account
0xa8ad98a2bd1b828f4caa8300407a69e5a5b5dab1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.5K
Realised
$-887.66
Win rate
1%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
1310 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
1309 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
1261 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
1014 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-492.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
988 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-292.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
963 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-108.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
925 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
910 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-176.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
887 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-146.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
885 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-293.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$40.73Jul 27, 23:03 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.78Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.13Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.20Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$34.39Jun 22, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$34.19Jun 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$19.64Jun 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$32.55Jun 22, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$51.59Jun 22, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.31Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$30.75Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$32.12Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$32.26Jun 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$29.22Jun 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$92.40Jun 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$73.87Jun 7, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$73.63Jun 7, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$109.92Jun 7, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$71.81Jun 7, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
200 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $72.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.