Naive-Conviction
0xa8af65facde1479f80fb7219c40f9fcc29539426
active
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
6
Open notional
$179.29
Total PnL
$11.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
75 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.64
$-0.07
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
49 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.73
$0.04
- NO
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
25 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.00
$0.00
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.00
$6.00
- 1. FSV MAINZ 05
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$15.00
$5.70
- SV WERDER BREMEN
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$8.92
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$8.265h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$0.985h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$9.256h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$4.721d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$13.571d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$4.981d ago
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?$22.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$9.262d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)$8.852d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Athletic Club (-1.5)$15.004d ago
- REDEEMAthletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5$15.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$0.944d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$9.304d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$7.404d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$4.794d ago
- TRADEBUYAthletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5$7.805d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Athletic Club (-1.5)$10.955d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$9.575d ago
- REDEEMWill AZ win on 2026-04-16?$0.006d ago
- REDEEMSpread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)$0.006d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.