Youthful-Timeout
0xa8b24f772328d45857290a5afa00700c887262fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1567 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?
427 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
202 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$4.34Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$4.25Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$7.50Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$3.79Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$11.46Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$15.57Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$5.60Jan 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$9.00Jan 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?$5.00Jan 21, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$4.77Jan 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.10Jan 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.50Jan 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$6.20Jan 21, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$5.00Jan 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$15.00Jan 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 20, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.