Venerated-Kitchen
0xa8b34ebf7c523d6311c396deb3107c38e79fec65
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.04
Total PnL
$-45.38
Realised
$-0.68
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.58
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?
12 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?$4.67Aug 18, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 17?$1.04Aug 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?$1.04Aug 17, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?$1.02Aug 17, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?$1.01Aug 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 17?$1.05Aug 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?$4.58Aug 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?$1.09Aug 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?$4.60Aug 16, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Aug 16, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 17?$1.00Aug 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 17?$1.00Aug 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?$1.00Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?$2.01Aug 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?$1.01Aug 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 15?$2.08Aug 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 16?$1.01Aug 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 15?$2.01Aug 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 14?$1.07Aug 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?$1.85Aug 14, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.