Filthy-Collectivisation
0xa8bd32a02b215fd91566e635ed710ccd1fe98e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$-23.38
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
1007 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-252.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
758 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-562.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
636 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-496.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
579 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-228.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
572 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-502.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1PM ET
540 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
508 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-452.18
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
498 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-271.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$100.49Jul 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$50.42Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$37.69Jul 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$3.03Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$102.70Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$108.19Jul 21, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$102.89Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$161.47Jul 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$151.68Jul 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$166.94Jul 21, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$104.58Jul 21, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$101.23Jul 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$90.82Jul 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.02Jul 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$80.06Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$56.20Jul 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$50.42Jul 19, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$63.29Jul 19, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$50.74Jul 19, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$63.41Jul 19, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $71.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.