Knowledgeable-Misunderstand
0xa8c4dc79ed2a706a6304994bd4d3e44eb77681ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$362.50
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
137 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$137.20
$67.23
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
95 shares @ 56.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$95.30
$41.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 3AM ET
72 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$72.00
$12.96
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET
33 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$33.00
$10.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET
25 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$25.00
$3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
1033 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-310.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
720 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-269.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
628 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-131.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
504 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-95.76
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.82Jan 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$8.69Jan 19, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$8.69Jan 19, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$17.56Jan 19, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.30Jan 19, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET$4.26Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET$9.23Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.85Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.99Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.76Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET$22.00Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$8.62Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$9.60Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.85Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.39Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.31Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.36Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.89Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.75Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.08Jan 19, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".