Polite-Partnership
0xa8c7348ea381a27f516dfecd7056999a778da317
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.78
Total PnL
$-5.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on May 16?$3.06May 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $130 on April 4?$7.00Mar 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$3.07Feb 23, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$2.70Feb 20, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by January 31?$5.50Jan 21, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by January 31?$3.85Jan 18, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?$4.08Dec 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?$3.43Nov 25, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?$0.00Nov 19, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?$1.11Nov 19, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?$2.05Nov 19, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMCoinbase #1 finance app on Friday?$6.14Nov 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase #1 finance app on Friday?$5.65Nov 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?$1.17Sep 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?$1.19Sep 4, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?$1.80Aug 31, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?$1.83Aug 30, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?$1.11Aug 24, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$880.02Aug 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$880.90Aug 13, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $472.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.