Heavy-Loincloth
0xa8cb1c966c7975466f6e6bd8f6098e5ef0dfea19
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
29170 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
26889 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
12308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
11173 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5943 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4814 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$153.1KMay 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$9.5KJan 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.0KJan 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$17.5KJan 30, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.6KJan 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$24.06Jan 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$3.0KJan 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$3.0KJan 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$2.0KJan 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$997.04Jan 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$771.59Jan 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$744.99Jan 17, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.