Troubled-Door
0xa8cce78389af0fc88ba6c83aee817a322f4584ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.11
Total PnL
$0.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.53
$0.23
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.39
$0.09
- YES
Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.34
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?$1.30Apr 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?$1.31Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.37Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 6, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Apr 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 25?$2.01Mar 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 25?$2.00Mar 25, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.36Mar 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?$1.30Mar 22, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.30Mar 22, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on March 21?$2.03Mar 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?$2.01Mar 22, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $120.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".