Political-Lottery
0xa8cd358b04a197a5c2d3ee65b6602ddb4cf8908e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 7?
312 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 8?
246 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 7?
206 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 8?
171 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on April 7?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
47 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
34 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 6?
33 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
32 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$3.10May 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.34May 16, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.56May 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.03May 16, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.20May 16, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.22May 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04May 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.01May 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.01May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$3.00Apr 7, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Apr 7, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.00Apr 7, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Apr 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$21.18Apr 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.00Apr 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$16.25Apr 7, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".