Square-Nature
0xa8d5c0793c34afabd0627c51d5fe5f662c8d9e98
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$43.67
Win rate
10%
140 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
231 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-36.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
228 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
227 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
219 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
218 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
196 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-23.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
194 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
185 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
184 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-22.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
183 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.12Aug 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.52Aug 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.98Aug 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.94Aug 15, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.16Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.08Aug 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.11Aug 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.09Aug 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.03Aug 15, 20:39 UTC
- MERGEEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Aug 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.60Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.08Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.06Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.06Aug 15, 20:38 UTC
- MERGEEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.16Aug 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.78Aug 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.09Aug 15, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.39Aug 15, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 140 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
140 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 140 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.