Orange-Shallows
0xa8dcef206f432d8a764bacec8f204f45852840d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$96.48
Total PnL
$-119.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
196 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
164 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
63 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
62 shares @ 19.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.23
$-1.77
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
119 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.12
$-1.88
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
27 shares @ 44.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$9.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
71 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.53
$-2.47
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.42
$0.42
- YES
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
98 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.69
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$12.29May 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$12.29May 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$12.30May 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$12.32May 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?$12.45May 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?$12.46May 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$12.43May 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$12.44May 26, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)$9.85May 20, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$12.26May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$12.27May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$12.17May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$12.20May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?$4.27May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.