Sugary-Reindeer
0xa8de77cdd16e3e6aa4ccadbe60949314fe3ed9b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$95.36
Total PnL
$-357.40
Realised
$30.04
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.75
$5.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 10.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.65
$-2.35
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.51
$-2.49
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 18.6¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.07
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9AM ET
1590 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$2.70Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.17Jun 12, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$1.02Jun 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$17.86Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$2.50May 31, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.