Gray-Deep
0xa8e98ffe933ac8ea21d73f0a4c43d60003a1c213
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.53
Total PnL
$-872.49
Realised
$-31.47
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.38
$-0.03
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.15
$-0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
124 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-91.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
92 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-30.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
81 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
67 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
65 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-29.30
- YES
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-09-28?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
43 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.10Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.22Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.31Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.47Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.83Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.09Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.67Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.80Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.28Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.10Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.76Jul 22, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.52Jul 22, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.74Jul 22, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.10Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.24Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.09Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.