Wrathful-Seizure
0xa8eb10fd618e31d33af1f23cb576c724f5fdda96
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 15?$150.34Oct 16, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 15?$150.19Oct 15, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 13?$150.19Oct 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 13?$150.04Oct 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$101.05Apr 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$101.47Apr 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine win by 20-25%?$1.00Apr 11, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 11, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Mar 4, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.00Mar 4, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 9.0-10.0%? $0.00Mar 4, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMSouthampton wins the Premier League?$0.00Mar 4, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$0.00Mar 4, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?$0.00Mar 4, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?$1.00Feb 2, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton wins the Premier League?$1.00Jan 14, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 9.0-10.0%? $0.02Nov 12, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $31.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.