Possible-Numeracy
0xa8ecd69114a0f30e8ec056521101e4cb795401e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-405.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
40000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-151.92
- YES
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
12215 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.81
- NO
Megaquake before August?
11095 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.64
- YES
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
5011 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-305.27
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 2?
800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 2?
531 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-79.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 7?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on August 1?
100 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 2?
89 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-53.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Nov 5, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 4, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$18.40Nov 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$5.00Sep 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 7?$3.00Aug 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 7?$4.00Aug 7, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 7?$3.00Aug 7, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on August 4?$11.50Aug 4, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on August 4?$11.50Aug 4, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 3?$0.00Aug 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 3?$15.80Aug 3, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 2?$3.13Aug 2, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Raymond Burke be the next pope?$0.00Aug 2, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angelo Scola be the next pope?$0.00Aug 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 2?$34.00Aug 2, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 2?$50.00Aug 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 2?$2.03Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 2?$9.00Aug 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 2?$5.88Aug 1, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 2?$11.37Aug 1, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".