Judicious-Threshold
0xa8ecdb3e963b2d46de7d557f97fc08b39afa9a1b
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$180.50
Total PnL
$-5.98
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?
66 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 7, 2026$65.80
$-0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$49.92
$-0.03
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 8, 2026$49.77
$-0.13
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.00
$-4.80
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Suns
140 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$65.844h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$49.904h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$49.954h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?$19.814h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$185.584h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$185.4015d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$185.4147d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$185.2147d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$97.6147d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$19.8747d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$34.6647d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$41.7247d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$40.0848d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$103.7748d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$20.0472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$19.9672d ago
- REDEEMWill China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$40.0072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$102.8485d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $51.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 119d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
