Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-883.20

Realised

$27.61

Win rate

100%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 22

YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
972 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-106.57
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
580 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-50.60
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
520 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-9.88
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
475 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-91.20
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
450 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-42.60
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
420 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-39.75
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
410 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-58.08
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
330 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-117.39
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
330 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-38.40
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025
$0.00
$-4.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$34.83Nov 10, 14:08 UTC
TRADESELLWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$2.73Nov 10, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.24Oct 30, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.05Oct 30, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.78Oct 30, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.31Oct 30, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.62Oct 30, 03:12 UTC
TRADESELLWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$4.13Oct 30, 02:54 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Oct 26, 12:08 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.25Oct 26, 10:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.08Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.20Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.40Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.20Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.12Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.08Oct 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.12Oct 26, 10:09 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.82Oct 26, 10:09 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.20Oct 26, 10:09 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.20Oct 26, 10:09 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $3.43
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 6, 11:03 UTC
Last active: Nov 10, 14:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 21:54:19 UTC·src:Polymarket Data