Dirty-Reliability
0xa900aaca24c09384bc0631f7c1995cea494b3805
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.6K
Realised
$-364.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13201 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-454.98
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
11847 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-637.42
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
9180 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?
6865 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-158.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET
6000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-103.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5600 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-388.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
5144 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-712.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?
5057 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-65.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
5000 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
4931 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.2KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.92Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.7KJul 19, 19:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$11.05Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.9KJul 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJul 18, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.0KJul 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$15.97Jul 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$47.67Jul 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$90.18Jul 18, 06:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$8.94Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$837.21Jul 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?$368.16Jul 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals AND France vs. England: Team to Win$300.00Jul 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.0KJul 17, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.