Twin-Seashore
0xa915d4418da7d13da26965562d118731c696f3b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.08
Total PnL
$-36.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump visit China before September?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$3.08
$0.68
- YES
Trump divorce in 2025?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?
24 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before August?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Obama divorce in 2025?
14 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$0.00Jul 5, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$0.00Jul 5, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$4.00Jul 3, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$2.00Jul 1, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$2.50Jul 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta buy TikTok?$0.00Jul 1, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$8.65Jul 1, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$3.00Jun 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before August?$2.00Jun 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?$2.20Jun 6, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China before September?$2.40Jun 6, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$2.50Jun 6, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above in June?$3.20Jun 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$2.60Jun 2, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold hit $3,600 before June?$0.00Jun 2, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS-EU trade deal before June?$0.00Jun 2, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMChina-EU trade deal before June?$0.00Jun 2, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$5.00May 13, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.00May 13, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.