Graceful-Nightmare
0xa927b45d341afe4a7346688722c40cbfd3f6878a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$119.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
13036 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-899.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
12596 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
8388 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?
2246 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on July 23?
1843 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
1751 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?
1655 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
1401 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-181.56
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
1021 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$0.00Jan 2, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$0.00Jan 2, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.5KJan 2, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$70.00Dec 30, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin close above $115K on July 31?$367.65Dec 30, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$1.8KDec 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?$134.00Jul 21, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO in 2025?$134.29Jul 21, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?$266.00Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $115K on July 31?$250.00Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?$500.00Jul 18, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$200.00Jul 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on July 23?$300.00Jul 18, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $180 in July?$854.14Jul 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?$235.96Jul 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?$2.00Jul 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?$200.00Jul 17, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$144.50Jul 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$100.00Jul 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$200.00Jul 16, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $435.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".