Fat-Trance
0xa9316d6181029bd687cc6fc465b01d691b40ea35
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.37
Total PnL
$-3.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
1 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Dec 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$1.00Jun 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$2.00Jun 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through June?$2.00Jun 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$1.00Jun 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?$1.00Jun 2, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?$0.00Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?$1.04Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSidemen Charity Match$1.67Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMLucy Guo arrested before April?$2.05Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?$2.35Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Congress grant Trump more funds for deportations?$2.38Jun 2, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLucy Guo arrested before April?$2.00Mar 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?$2.00Mar 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congress grant Trump more funds for deportations?$2.00Mar 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSidemen Charity Match$1.00Mar 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Mar 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?$0.99Mar 7, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".