Jealous-Faculty
0xa941581933fb596e57064153849d89154ea6ae32
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.32
Total PnL
$-170.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?$8.04May 11, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.40 in April?$10.07May 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?$5.02May 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.40 in April?$10.00Apr 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?$8.00Apr 19, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$2.47Apr 19, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 26?$10.03Apr 19, 18:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Mar 28, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Mar 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 26?$10.00Mar 26, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$2.00Mar 26, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?$20.12Mar 26, 17:23 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Mar 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?$20.00Mar 22, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$3.06Feb 17, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?$4.06Feb 17, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$420.00Feb 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$207.90Feb 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$18.90Feb 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?$4.00Feb 3, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $31.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.