0xa94328aed52fd0e4410c3397a67a4d427529650f
0xa94328aed52fd0e4410c3397a67a4d427529650f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$37.09
Total PnL
$-0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?
6 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.72
$1.72
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.74
$0.74
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.60
$0.60
- YES
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
3 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.14
$1.14
- NO
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$2.00Mar 23, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.00Mar 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarkwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$2.00Mar 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.00Mar 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.00Mar 21, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shinzo" or "Abe" during events with Japanese PM?$2.00Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?$2.04Mar 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.00Mar 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.00Mar 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Mar 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 19, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shinzo" or "Abe" during events with Japanese PM?$2.00Mar 19, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarkwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$2.00Mar 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?$2.00Mar 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$2.00Mar 18, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel again in March?$2.00Mar 18, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.