Thorough-Contrail
0xa9485f66737028f2da67d62d2623e2b8775d6552
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-21.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Frank Pallone Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.00
$0.12
- YES
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
163 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Pallone Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?$19.88May 26, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill another coin be the next coin listed on Coinbase?$12.50May 25, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMSteak 'n Shake accepts Bitcoin before July?$16.13May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?$6.00Mar 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteak 'n Shake accepts Bitcoin before July?$5.00Mar 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coin be the next coin listed on Coinbase?$11.00Mar 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash by December 31?$1.00Mar 8, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?$15.00Mar 8, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMAK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMCA-22 election: Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R)$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMPA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R)$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMNY-17 election: Jones (D) vs. Lawler (R)$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Vermont Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.98Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMMetaMask airdrop by September 30?$10.42Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$18.52Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Nov 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Vermont Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 13:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Oct 18, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $6.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".