Dutiful-Policeman-Scaffold
0xa957308f29ea6d27944c08f499ed3ab2d6197638
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$27.00
Total PnL
$-769.24
Realised
$-15.01
Win rate
0%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?
27 shares @ 73.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$27.00
$7.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?
417 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 7?
196 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12?
148 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 9?
146 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?
72 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 6?
71 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-27.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 5?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 8?
47 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?
44 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?$12.00Jul 30, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?$9.00Jul 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 29?$7.48Jul 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?$9.49Jul 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29?$4.94Jul 29, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?$12.00Jul 29, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$12.00Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 28?$12.00Jul 29, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?$9.23Jul 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$1.58Jul 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$0.88Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$1.44Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?$5.70Jul 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 28?$9.00Jul 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 28?$8.41Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$8.43Jul 28, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?$12.00Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?$9.23Jul 27, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 27?$5.48Jul 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?$5.95Jul 27, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
57 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.