Willing-Flexibility
0xa9627cd7b190d4d3547840ccd76e39d819ee8978
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$304.91
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$-53.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
890 shares @ 56.2¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.13
$-201.87
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
467 shares @ 42.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.78
$-193.22
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
5307 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 18?
4871 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
4762 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
3440 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
2394 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
2054 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
1934 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$669.49Mar 24, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1000.00Mar 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$666.66Mar 15, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$666.67Mar 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$358.19Mar 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$500.00Mar 2, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?$200.00Feb 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?$200.00Feb 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$300.00Feb 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$300.00Feb 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$419.43Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$477.50Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$200.00Feb 28, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$875.17Feb 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$1000.00Feb 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1000.00Feb 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1000.00Feb 28, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMMiami vs. Indiana$1.3KFeb 14, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.6KFeb 14, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $635.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".