Breakable-Engineer
0xa967b8c5b247cd0e9be5b7144c8b8453d73079a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$913.62
Total PnL
$-7.58
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?
200 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$194.32
$-3.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 26?
194 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$187.44
$-2.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 27?
116 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$114.94
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 26?
100 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$99.32
$0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 27?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$95.60
$-2.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$94.83
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 26?
80 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$78.80
$0.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?
43 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$42.95
$0.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.41
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?$17.08Jun 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?$3.00Jun 25, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?$5.30Jun 25, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?$0.13Jun 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?$5.16Jun 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?$42.41Jun 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 26?$15.30Jun 25, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 26?$175.31Jun 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$190.61Jun 25, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$6.04Jun 25, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$6.00Jun 25, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?$24.58Jun 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$24.59Jun 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$129.70Jun 25, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?$50.62Jun 25, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?$5.04Jun 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?$22.15Jun 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$82.08Jun 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?$95.23Jun 25, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 25?$15.86Jun 25, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.