High-Innervation
0xa96b374a4b05a222714b14bba124c14aef730c31
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.00
Total PnL
$-28.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$4.18
$1.17
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.81
$2.78
- YES
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.68
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
13 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?
9 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.55
- NO
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$6.46Jul 30, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.85Jul 30, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?$6.55Jul 29, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 9?$3.01Jul 8, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$5.88Jul 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$2.14Jul 7, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$0.00Jun 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$2.66Jun 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$5.63Jun 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.03Jun 11, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 5, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$20.32Jun 5, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$9.68May 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$8.80May 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$15.24May 8, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$3.75May 5, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$8.01Feb 7, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in January?$29.15Feb 7, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$7.99Jan 30, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.