Alarming-Hunting
0xa979fe11ff354fded920be7af94bb8027c6c2203
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-23.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 15, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.01Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Jan 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$2.01Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.02Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$3.04Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 8-14?$1.01Dec 26, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.01Dec 26, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$1.02Dec 15, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 8-14?$1.00Dec 11, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.