Handy-Buckwheat-Popcorn
0xa97e20406715007953e9bff02f6a84896158a8d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
183
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-261.36
Realised
$-15.93
Win rate
7%
104 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 183- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?
1422 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 16?
1128 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 14?
975 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 11?
953 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 16?
878 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 10?
844 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?
722 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?$23.81Jul 16, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$20.91Jul 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 16?$5.06Jul 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?$0.32Jul 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?$0.15Jul 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$0.44Jul 16, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$1.98Jul 16, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$0.16Jul 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$4.30Jul 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$8.83Jul 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?$0.34Jul 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?$1.00Jul 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?$0.15Jul 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?$0.17Jul 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?$4.95Jul 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 16?$0.15Jul 16, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 104 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
104 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 104 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.