Handy-Buckwheat-Popcorn
0xa97e20406715007953e9bff02f6a84896158a8d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.94
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on June 25?
540 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 25?
356 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 25?
242 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?
224 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on June 24?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 22?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 21?
55 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 23?
14 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 24?
11 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?
11 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?$3.60Jun 25, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?$3.79Jun 25, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?$11.37Jun 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 25?$16.08Jun 25, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$9.99Jun 25, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$24.18Jun 25, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$20.79Jun 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$0.20Jun 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$12.61Jun 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$4.30Jun 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$0.97Jun 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$2.27Jun 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?$2.50Jun 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 25?$1.05Jun 25, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on June 25?$1.05Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$0.07Jun 25, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$0.05Jun 25, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 25?$0.25Jun 25, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on June 25?$1.05Jun 25, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?$0.12Jun 25, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.