Willing-Credibility
0xa983830c461b77cf1adb3a1c5fd8a8343de37db6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$121.80
Total PnL
$0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$12.06
$0.06
- NO
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$8.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.04
$0.04
- YES
Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Nov 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Nov 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.00Nov 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Nov 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$4.00Nov 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $380 in November?$5.00Nov 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?$4.00Nov 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$6.00Nov 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?$5.00Nov 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?$4.00Nov 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?$4.00Nov 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$5.00Nov 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$5.00Nov 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 16 straight weeks?$5.00Nov 18, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$6.00Nov 18, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 18, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$6.00Nov 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$470 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$4.00Nov 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.00Nov 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$6.00Nov 18, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $29.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.