Deafening-Oval
0xa98cb39bc6703b4d5aee23e85af62c0178e418cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.64
Total PnL
$-38.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.64
$0.43
- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
368 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?
324 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.59
- NO
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
59 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.21Nov 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?$11.92Jan 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?$14.90Jan 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$7.61Jan 9, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$9.28Jan 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$9.49Jan 8, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$5.05Jan 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$5.03Dec 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$18.68Dec 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$19.41Dec 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$35.24Dec 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$13.27Dec 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$17.10Dec 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$17.81Dec 20, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.61Dec 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$1.22Dec 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$2.59Dec 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$19.44Dec 9, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$19.45Dec 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$19.50Dec 9, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $24.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".