Defenseless-Icicle
0xa9995c7ac11d1378d4c6c83cb36e935874b32415
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.13
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ET
245 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ET
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3.28Apr 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.08Apr 4, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 2, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.00Mar 23, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$8.62Mar 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 10, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$2.00Mar 8, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$2.00Mar 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 3, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$11.65Mar 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$3.00Mar 2, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.88Mar 1, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".