Wallet profile

Ready-Progression

0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1

activity 62/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

62/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

46

Open notional

$10.7K

Total PnL

$-4.8K

Realised

$-3.1K

Win rate

19%

27 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 46

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$22.2K

Trades

2

Buy share

0%

Window

Jun 14, 23:30 UTC → Jun 17, 12:26 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $14.3K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

50/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

19% win rate over 27 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

44 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$22.2K

2 trades

30d volume

$22.2K

2 trades

Buy share

0%

Sample

low

2 ledger trades

Top market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

$22.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100% of recorded volume$22.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity71 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence90 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry22 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
44
Avg trade size
$107.86
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 19, 21:12 UTC
Last active
Jun 20, 00:45 UTC
Win rate sample
27 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 07:28:30 UTC·src:Polymarket Data