Superficial-Mole
0xa9b982a035e15f08f4e3f35e56a4aacd34120fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$14.23
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$173.24
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
581 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.23
$1.23
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
3746 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-116.93
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
3698 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
2442 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-101.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2425 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-277.81
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
2132 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
1905 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1881 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
1673 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
1625 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13.00May 29, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$10.00Apr 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$22.55Apr 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 3, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$605.92Feb 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$273.00Feb 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$272.66Feb 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$49.00Feb 27, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$49.04Feb 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$41.00Feb 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$146.92Feb 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$20.00Feb 27, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8AM ET$28.48Feb 27, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8AM ET$20.00Feb 27, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$96.00Feb 27, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$101.20Feb 27, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $56.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".