Thoughtful-Fugato
0xa9c486220a0651787ff675e29337404b6123eee2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$70.36
Total PnL
$26.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 18?
60 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$60.00
$27.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.61
$0.11
- NO
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 18?$33.00Oct 17, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?$3.26Oct 17, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$4.06Oct 17, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.56Oct 17, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.16Oct 17, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$10.05Oct 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.00Jul 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.50Jul 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?$3.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?$1.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$3.00Jul 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$3.00Jul 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$10.00Jul 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$4.00Jul 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$109.89Jan 28, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$100.00Dec 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$159.86Dec 15, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$142.24Dec 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$4.29Dec 15, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $58.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.