Grandiose-Questioner
0xa9cac80d7d2f9bacac5725d5f949e63bd3c2914a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
2455 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 24?
888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$10.00Dec 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$18.95Dec 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.00Dec 22, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$28.08Dec 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$10.00Dec 22, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$3.00Dec 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$2.00Dec 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$2.00Dec 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$4.00Dec 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$4.00Dec 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$10.00Dec 20, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$8.00Dec 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$12.00Dec 20, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.00Dec 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?$1.00Dec 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?$1.00Dec 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?$1.00Dec 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$42.86Dec 19, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$50.00Dec 19, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".