Grouchy-Cot
0xa9cbfa3cbdc9f886a85ccd0d5bdc009620109daf
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$9.63
Total PnL
$-0.24
Realised
$-3.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- MERGEWill claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?$20.00Aug 8, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?$20.15Aug 8, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?$6.17Aug 8, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$172.00Jul 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.00Jul 30, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$60.33Jul 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$35.87Jul 30, 20:40 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 18, 15:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 12, 15:02 UTC
- SPLITWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 12, 14:48 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.00Jul 10, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $85 (LOW) by end of February?$0.00Jun 18, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.00Jun 18, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?$0.00Jun 18, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$0.00Jun 18, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesting Group Event 1$25.00Jun 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesting Group Event 1$27.45Jun 17, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win Intervision 2025?$0.00Apr 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.17Apr 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.95Apr 8, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $48.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.