Definitive-Lending
0xa9cecc599913458b0586ce79609813be085bf5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
173
Open notional
$14.10
Total PnL
$-982.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 18?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 16?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?
68 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.25Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.07Jun 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$5.06Jun 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$3.05Jun 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$3.07Jun 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?$5.12May 25, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.18May 25, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)$10.15May 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$10.18May 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.18May 5, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$5.06May 5, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?$21.70May 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?$11.73Apr 23, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?$10.00Apr 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?$3.00Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?$3.00Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?$15.00Apr 17, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?$0.00Apr 17, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.